Trump vs. Biden
The upcoming 46th presidential election in the US is a subject of hot discussion. Political pundits worldwide are speculating on whether the incumbent leader Donald J. Trump again wins or his rival hopeful, Joe Biden.
Early days of 2020 proved to be in the favor of Trump as the economy of the state was on peak in the growth rate, unemployment came to the lowest rate and the social system was up to the mark.
Considering the mid-year’s unexpected pandemic, the Coronavirus has swiped all above-mentioned developments in a very short span of time. Thus, the pendulum of election swings to the side of Joe Biden. Majority of the polls are now signaling for victory for Biden. Now, Trump’s triumph policies are no longer effective.
Racism, genocide and other social unrest in America, which led America on the verge of chaos and turmoil, also proved to be his failure policies. It is a bitter fact that Trump’s trumpery policies have long been drowning him down into the eyes of public during the current elections.
It is imperative to understand the system of US elections. Considering two main areas of the system; popular vote and electoral vote, the former is comprised of people vote who select their candidate and the latter one is based on selected ministers who finally vote for President. In essence, the popular vote is baseless unless the electoral vote supports the candidate. Like in the previous elections of 2016, Henry Clinton won in the popular vote in a big margin from Trump but could not succeed in the electoral vote, resulting Trump’s victory. It is too early to say who will win, Both candidates vying for becoming President. Biden could defeat Trump by attracting the voters of suburban and industrial areas. Trump is already facing a strong criticism over the condition of economy. Amidst the pandemic, with a 40 per cent unemployment enhancement, the economy of the state is going through a volatile time which creates a massive hindrance in the process of election for Trump campaign.
The incumbent president has made some blunders which may negatively influence his gains in presidential race. One of the most appalling events was the encouragement of racism through the killing of George Floyd—a black man. The very incident led a massive protest around the state which projected Trump as aggressive and irrational leader in the eye of voters.
However, it seems US election is like a game of cards where other world powers also play their part. Like in the previous elections, Russian involvement has been identified to be one of the major factor in Trump’s reelections. American authorities have warned of the involvement of the trio— China, Russia and Iran — in the election. American intelligence officials issued a public warning that China was “expanding its influence efforts” in the United States ahead of the presidential election, along with Russia and Iran, but Democrats briefed on the matter said the threat was far more urgent than what the administration described. The warning came from William R. Evening, the director of the National Counterintelligence and Security Center, in a statement 100 days before Americans go to the polls. “We’re primarily concerned with China, Russia and Iran — although other nation-states and non-state actors could also do harm to our electoral process,” the statement said.
Recent bonhomie between China and Iran based on secret bilateral agreement is a serious cause of concern for the United States. Let’s see how they play their part in the game. Well, it is more likely that Russia will not play the same part as played in 2016 election, but would rather try a new angle to view the election as the chances of Trumps’ reelection get drastically low. If Biden wins the election, it will have far reaching consequences for American foreign policy in particular and the society in general.